Just Like clockwork...

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jatelle
Posts: 107
Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2015 1:36 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jatelle »

jatelle wrote: Wed Nov 02, 2022 4:59 pm
jatelle wrote: Tue Nov 01, 2022 7:02 pm The VIX is signaling a reversal anytime now.
Next stop down would be a re-test of the MEAN at 368. As long as we remain below 385 we remain bearish.
Bias is Bearish: Expect it to bounce off the MEAN (dashed white line) and make a long play towards the Daily 50 SMA (yellow line) currently at about 381. As long as it stays below the 50 SMA we remain bearish.
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harpole
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by harpole »

Pump and dump today? Nothing in today's reports that would change the Powell plan... I may need to go 50G/50S for a while... The market downturn has looked too orderly over the last year. Have we seen true pain yet? I'm not so sure.
Never underestimate the true intentions and overreach of the regime.
Less Government, More Freedom!

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jimcasada
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jimcasada »

I was just looking at the very bottom of our current 2022 fantasy list (rogdlr, Fallingh2o, etc), and it got me to thinking. You know, if I had just did the exact opposite of everything they did this year, I would probably be up over +20% by now. Maybe that will be my new strategy? I'm picking out some of those guys to add to my watch list.

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IRQVET
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by IRQVET »

jimcasada wrote: Fri Nov 04, 2022 3:16 pm You know, if I had just did the exact opposite of everything they did this year, I would probably be up over +20% by now. Maybe that will be my new strategy? I'm picking out some of those guys to add to my watch list.
Right!? :lol:
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Disclaimer: The contents of this thread are known to the state of California to cause cancer. (As they always seem to know more than the rest of us)

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misfit
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by misfit »

IRQVET wrote: Fri Nov 04, 2022 7:15 pm
jimcasada wrote: Fri Nov 04, 2022 3:16 pm You know, if I had just did the exact opposite of everything they did this year, I would probably be up over +20% by now. Maybe that will be my new strategy? I'm picking out some of those guys to add to my watch list.
Right!? :lol:
It’s an unfair market…..falling h20 is drowning 🤪…already on my watchlist. Glad it’s not real $.

wingchaser
Posts: 684
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Nice rebound off of Sessions’ Low…

Anyone else notice how the 50-Day SMA is causin’ RESISTANCE?

How ‘bout Everyone!!!

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/03/stock-m ... -news.html

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

jatelle
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jatelle »

jatelle wrote: Thu Nov 03, 2022 9:29 pm
Bias is Bearish: Expect it to bounce off the MEAN (dashed white line) and make a long play towards the Daily 50 SMA (yellow line) currently at about 381. As long as it stays below the 50 SMA we remain bearish.
Bias is Bearish: It made a morning run for the 50 SMA (379.6) but fell short. It is now setting up to make a second run. As long as it stays below the 50 SMA we remain bearish.
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jimcasada
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jimcasada »

misfit wrote: Fri Nov 04, 2022 8:59 pm
IRQVET wrote: Fri Nov 04, 2022 7:15 pm
jimcasada wrote: Fri Nov 04, 2022 3:16 pm You know, if I had just did the exact opposite of everything they did this year, I would probably be up over +20% by now. Maybe that will be my new strategy? I'm picking out some of those guys to add to my watch list.
Right!? :lol:
It’s an unfair market…..falling h20 is drowning 🤪…already on my watchlist. Glad it’s not real $.
The main reason I was going through the list was that I was looking to see who was in the I fund today. Didn't find many folks in that fund, and sure didn't see today's jump coming.

wingchaser
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

jimcasada wrote: Fri Nov 04, 2022 3:16 pm I was just looking at the very bottom of our current 2022 fantasy list (rogdlr, Fallingh2o, etc), and it got me to thinking. You know, if I had just did the exact opposite of everything they did this year, I would probably be up over +20% by now. Maybe that will be my new strategy? I'm picking out some of those guys to add to my watch list.
JIMBO:

You’re outperforming the market, as well as, the 10% whom seem to stay in the G Fund (year-after-year). Why change a thing?

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
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Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Tempted to get back into the market (today), but I got over it…

Too much uncertainty in the air!!!

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/11/06/sto ... -news.html

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

jatelle
Posts: 107
Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2015 1:36 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jatelle »

jatelle wrote: Fri Nov 04, 2022 10:59 pm It is now setting up to make a second run. As long as it stays below the 50 SMA we remain bearish.
Bias is Bullish Today it broke above the 50 SMA and rising. As long as it stays above 376.22 we remain bullish.

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Tomanyiron »

jatelle wrote: Mon Nov 07, 2022 7:10 pm Bias is Bullish Today it broke above the 50 SMA and rising. As long as it stays above 376.22 we remain bullish.
Election expectations causing market bullishness.
Some say the "Red Wave" will be the end of democracy.
But if you 'follow the science', the two don't jibe.

ripp002
Posts: 29
Joined: Sun Apr 26, 2020 4:55 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by ripp002 »

Rather tough time for timing the market. It's very tempting to get in now with the C S & I down 20 percent, or so. November and December are normally a good time to be in and it feels like the market wants to make a run. However, we're coming off a nice run that matched up on que with seasonal tendencies. Also, the leading seasonal strats on tsp.calc are signalling F as of yesterday, which, to me, throws fear into jumping in now.

Enjoy your V Day holiday....

wingchaser
Posts: 684
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Nasty lookin’ candle, sometime’s indicative of a trend reversal. If there is, indeed, a Red Tsunami (as some are predicting), market may tank like we haven’t seen in…

A month or 2!!!

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/11/07/sto ... -news.html

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

jatelle
Posts: 107
Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2015 1:36 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jatelle »

wingchaser wrote: Tue Nov 08, 2022 5:26 pm If there is, indeed, a Red Tsunami (as some are predicting), market may tank like we haven’t seen in…

A month or 2!!!

OMG, Wing you crack me up! Thanks for the good laugh!

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Fund Prices2022-12-05

FundPriceDayYTD
G $17.19 0.03% 2.70%
F $18.43 -0.76% -11.75%
C $61.29 -1.79% -14.82%
S $64.10 -2.95% -23.18%
I $34.28 -1.41% -13.08%
L2065 $12.62 -1.81% -15.18%
L2060 $12.62 -1.81% -15.17%
L2055 $12.63 -1.81% -15.16%
L2050 $26.14 -1.54% -12.95%
L2045 $12.03 -1.45% -12.05%
L2040 $44.30 -1.35% -11.04%
L2035 $11.82 -1.24% -9.94%
L2030 $39.75 -1.12% -8.76%
L2025 $11.55 -0.74% -5.73%
Linc $22.98 -0.46% -2.15%

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Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".