Just Like clockwork...

General TSP Discussion.

Moderator: Aitrus

Post Reply
Chulke
Posts: 382
Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 10:25 am

Just Like clockwork...

Post by Chulke »

I made my transfer back into stocks (S fund) per my plan, and the first day back....Is projecting to be a down day, according to the futures...Gonna be more of a negative start to the year I guess!....But!, Fingers crossed....We get a monster February like last year!!



Cheers!
Cheers!

Current Strat: Loosely following 152300 and 85660 more the former rather than the later
Current PIP: 24.04

Bubba
Posts: 266
Joined: Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:40 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Bubba »

Chulke wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 8:34 am I made my transfer back into stocks (S fund) per my plan, and the first day back....Is projecting to be a down day, according to the futures...Gonna be more of a negative start to the year I guess!....But!, Fingers crossed....We get a monster February like last year!!



Cheers!
No one knows what can happen, so don't beat yourself up.

The guys that I'm following are saying the 1st half of 2022 will be challenging. Typically midterms are difficult and the midterm of a 1st term president typically are some of the worst (e.g. 2018). So, that's more to consider.

I'm still tooling with my own strategy and after much throwing around, I landed at this bad boy TSPCalc 165454. Of course, as you said, all it takes for me to go back into equities and I'll keep losing. :D

The I fund is the best (at present) equity fund YTD. It's only the 18th of Jan, but I have a good feeling that's where the "wins" will be this year.

Have a great day!

Best,

Bubba

wingchaser
Posts: 517
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

For what it’s worth, Williams%R just hit -98 on SPX, signals ENTRY POINT into the C FUND should this market ever depict a reversal…

2-3 consecutive UP days would be nice!!!

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

User avatar
Aitrus
Moderator
Posts: 2304
Joined: Mon Aug 06, 2012 5:03 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Aitrus »

Meh, I just try to think of it as stocks going on sale. If I'm in the market, then my paycheck contribution is buying them at a discount. If I'm out, then the market going down is just helping me for when my strategy tells me it's time go buy back in.

Like most things in life, it's all about perspective and how we choose to look at a situation.
Seasonal Musings 2022: viewtopic.php?f=14&t=19005
Recommended Reading: http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=13474
"It's not what happens to you, but how you react to it that matters" Epictetus

Chulke
Posts: 382
Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 10:25 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Chulke »

Bit of a bloodbath today though! Just gotta disconnect the loss in my head!


Cheers!
Cheers!

Current Strat: Loosely following 152300 and 85660 more the former rather than the later
Current PIP: 24.04

User avatar
Scarfinger
Posts: 723
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Scarfinger »

Aitrus wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 4:19 pm Meh, I just try to think of it as stocks going on sale. If I'm in the market, then my paycheck contribution is buying them at a discount. If I'm out, then the market going down is just helping me for when my strategy tells me it's time go buy back in.

Like most things in life, it's all about perspective and how we choose to look at a situation.
Yep. Discount. That's my new favorite word.
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
TimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation of

zenquest
Posts: 33
Joined: Tue Mar 12, 2013 8:17 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by zenquest »

Aitrus wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 4:19 pm Meh, I just try to think of it as stocks going on sale. If I'm in the market, then my paycheck contribution is buying them at a discount. If I'm out, then the market going down is just helping me for when my strategy tells me it's time go buy back in.

Like most things in life, it's all about perspective and how we choose to look at a situation.
Thanks for helping me reframe my perspective. I mean I think we all hate red days but when I was actively trading that usually meant there's blood in the water and it was time to buy.

ProduceMan
Posts: 545
Joined: Thu Jan 18, 2018 12:01 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by ProduceMan »

Yup, my paycheck contribution is Thursday, so with Aitrus’s regards, I hope today and tomorrow are C and S down days :)
Moneys’ Money Making Money (4M)

wingchaser
Posts: 517
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Our Bi-weekly contributions are negligible compared to our account balance, all things bein’ relative (of course)..

Rumor has it that there'll be two (2) hikes in March.

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

ProduceMan
Posts: 545
Joined: Thu Jan 18, 2018 12:01 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by ProduceMan »

wingchaser wrote: Wed Jan 19, 2022 2:52 pm Our Bi-weekly contributions are negligible compared to our account balance, all things bein’ relative (of course)..

Rumor has it that there'll be two (2) hikes in March.

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
Can you explain your two (2) comments in laymans terms :)
Moneys’ Money Making Money (4M)

wingchaser
Posts: 517
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

ProduceMan wrote: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:04 pm
wingchaser wrote: Wed Jan 19, 2022 2:52 pm Our Bi-weekly contributions are negligible compared to our account balance, all things bein’ relative (of course)..

Rumor has it that there'll be two (2) hikes in March.

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
Can you explain your two (2) comments in laymans terms :)
ProduceMan:

Our bi-weekly contribution @ 19% (max.) is roughly $1,000-$1,750, but I would believe most of us have a TSP Balance of approx. $500,000 & that amount is a mere 0.30%.

The more important aspect of any downsurge is that (hopefully) we’re not taking hits of $5,000 (1%) per day on our account.

The 2nd comment concerns the 5 Interest Rate Hikes that the Fed is targeting (this year). Totally unprecedented…

The last time they hiked 4 times in one (1) year, I believe the market corrected itself -30%.

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

User avatar
bloobs
Posts: 1377
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 8:00 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bloobs »

For whatever reasons and/or excuses, the bears are now in control of market.

ProduceMan
Posts: 545
Joined: Thu Jan 18, 2018 12:01 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by ProduceMan »

wingchaser wrote: Wed Jan 19, 2022 10:01 pm
ProduceMan wrote: Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:04 pm
wingchaser wrote: Wed Jan 19, 2022 2:52 pm Our Bi-weekly contributions are negligible compared to our account balance, all things bein’ relative (of course)..

Rumor has it that there'll be two (2) hikes in March.

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
Can you explain your two (2) comments in laymans terms :)
ProduceMan:

Our bi-weekly contribution @ 19% (max.) is roughly $1,000-$1,750, but I would believe most of us have a TSP Balance of approx. $500,000 & that amount is a mere 0.30%.

The more important aspect of any downsurge is that (hopefully) we’re not taking hits of $5,000 (1%) per day on our account.

The 2nd comment concerns the 5 Interest Rate Hikes that the Fed is targeting (this year). Totally unprecedented…

The last time they hiked 4 times in one (1) year, I believe the market corrected itself -30%.

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
Thank You Wingman :)
Moneys’ Money Making Money (4M)

User avatar
bamablue
Posts: 242
Joined: Tue Jul 24, 2012 11:40 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bamablue »

Today started out good and it looked like a sure up day. Too much volatility for my blood. I wanted to go out with a bang, but this isn't the year. I'm planning to retire this year and I will have to spend a lot of time sitting in the G fund.

User avatar
Tomanyiron
Posts: 4681
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Tomanyiron »

I’m sure wingchaser has a candlestick description of today’s market action. It’s probably something like “up-side down spinning top, with a negative shadow”. :D But I call it a head-fake day, a move to get us thinking things have turned around, so we'd make an IFT.

I’m teasing you Wing, what would it be called?

Post Reply

Fund Prices2022-08-05

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.98 0.01% 1.45%
F $19.05 -1.07% -8.80%
C $63.14 -0.15% -12.24%
S $67.93 0.74% -18.59%
I $33.31 -0.76% -15.55%
L2065 $12.78 -0.24% -14.10%
L2060 $12.78 -0.24% -14.10%
L2055 $12.79 -0.24% -14.09%
L2050 $26.41 -0.27% -12.04%
L2045 $12.13 -0.27% -11.26%
L2040 $44.61 -0.25% -10.41%
L2035 $11.88 -0.24% -9.47%
L2030 $39.88 -0.21% -8.47%
L2025 $11.54 -0.16% -5.76%
Linc $22.85 -0.12% -2.72%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".