Just Like clockwork...

General TSP Discussion.

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wingchaser
Posts: 517
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

SOXL - Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (+4.42) strong on my Watchlist. Buy on PULLBACK with maximum (recommended) 5-Digit exposure…

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-QvZ-HpaJNY

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 517
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

S&P mid-day depiction (HIGHER HIGH?)…

As Cramer likes to say, “Buy, Buy, Buy!!!”

Here’s Hopin’…

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

harpole
Posts: 89
Joined: Wed Mar 22, 2017 9:25 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by harpole »

I have FOMO bad...
Also, remember the Government knows what's best for all of us and is here to help.. :?

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Scarfinger
Posts: 723
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Scarfinger »

harpole wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 12:02 pm I have FOMO bad...
Not sure what magic bullet your looking for... But you could get in right now saying to yourself "I am getting an 18% to 26% discount on your money. Then just ride it out. It could drop another 25% after you get in but you still got a discount on your money.

Depends on your time horizon and risk tolerance. Myself, I had 20% in the "G" fund and I went 100% stocks a couple of days ago with the mindset I stated above. I still have about 12 years until retirement.
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
TimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation of

harpole
Posts: 89
Joined: Wed Mar 22, 2017 9:25 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by harpole »

Scarfinger wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 12:13 pm
harpole wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 12:02 pm I have FOMO bad...
Not sure what magic bullet your looking for... But you could get in right now saying to yourself "I am getting an 18% to 26% discount on your money. Then just ride it out. It could drop another 25% after you get in but you still got a discount on your money.

Depends on your time horizon and risk tolerance. Myself, I had 20% in the "G" fund and I went 100% stocks a couple of days ago with the mindset I stated above. I still have about 12 years until retirement.
Definitely crossed my mind. I just see that upper Bollinger band and 50 DMA being strong resistance, so am hesitant.
Also, remember the Government knows what's best for all of us and is here to help.. :?

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Scarfinger
Posts: 723
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Scarfinger »

My point of view is from past experience. I got out right before the Covid Pandemic crash. Then I got back in at the bottom close to perfect timing. That's when I messed up. Around the end of march it started going down and I jumped out again and then I missed out on some good gains as it shot back up.

So for me, if I can get a 20% or more discount , I will accept it and not look a gift horse in the mouth.

Also if you still have many years until your retirement. A down market is great for those bi-weekly paycheck contributions.
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
TimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation of

wingchaser
Posts: 517
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Index closed right @ or near Sessions’ High, while 50-Day Moving Average was also broached…

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/ ... 022-07-19/

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

jatelle
Posts: 22
Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2015 1:36 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jatelle »

jatelle wrote: Mon Jul 18, 2022 6:48 pm I suspect it wants to try again tomorrow to test the 50 EMA
Wow, what a day! :shock: Now let's see if the SPX (/ES) can break through the 50 EMA (June 28th high) and hold in the aftermarket... any guesses?

wingchaser
Posts: 517
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

jatelle wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 4:25 pm
jatelle wrote: Mon Jul 18, 2022 6:48 pm I suspect it wants to try again tomorrow to test the 50 EMA
Wow, what a day! :shock: Now let's see if the SPX (/ES) can break through the 50 EMA (June 28th high) and hold in the aftermarket... any guesses?
After-hours is mildly GREEN, but Green nonetheless…

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

md2018
Posts: 170
Joined: Wed Sep 08, 2010 1:17 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by md2018 »

jatelle wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 4:25 pm
jatelle wrote: Mon Jul 18, 2022 6:48 pm I suspect it wants to try again tomorrow to test the 50 EMA
Wow, what a day! :shock: Now let's see if the SPX (/ES) can break through the 50 EMA (June 28th high) and hold in the aftermarket... any guesses?
My guess would be that it fails at the 50 EMA just like in the past few attempts. There doesn’t seems to be anything positive that has changed with the economy and with the expectation of either a .75 or 1.0 increase of interest rates by the Fed at the the end of the month it just doesn’t seem positive. but I would hate to see a failure and new lows made but I think that might be the case until the Fed stops raising or at least only does a .25 or .5 in September.

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bloobs
Posts: 1377
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 8:00 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bloobs »

Fed language of a cessation or rescission of rate hikes is the only sure catalyst for the stock market...but I'm in a bar in the tropics right now so who cares :wink:

jatelle
Posts: 22
Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2015 1:36 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jatelle »

bloobs wrote: Wed Jul 20, 2022 8:46 am Fed language of a cessation or rescission of rate hikes is the only sure catalyst for the stock market...but I'm in a bar in the tropics right now so who cares :wink:
Well that sounds like more fun than here Bloobs - have a drink on all of us!

wingchaser
Posts: 517
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

50-Day SMA (momentarily) servin' as SUPPORT, with an emphasis on "momentarily"...

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

jatelle
Posts: 22
Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2015 1:36 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jatelle »

wingchaser wrote: Wed Jul 20, 2022 2:56 pm 50-Day SMA (momentarily) servin' as SUPPORT, with an emphasis on "momentarily"...
A SPINNING TOP... hopin SPX can hold support after-hours...tick tock

jatelle
Posts: 22
Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2015 1:36 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jatelle »

md2018 wrote: Wed Jul 20, 2022 8:02 am
jatelle wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 4:25 pm
jatelle wrote: Mon Jul 18, 2022 6:48 pm I suspect it wants to try again tomorrow to test the 50 EMA
Wow, what a day! :shock: Now let's see if the SPX (/ES) can break through the 50 EMA (June 28th high) and hold in the aftermarket... any guesses?
My guess would be that it fails at the 50 EMA just like in the past few attempts. There doesn’t seems to be anything positive that has changed with the economy and with the expectation of either a .75 or 1.0 increase of interest rates by the Fed at the the end of the month it just doesn’t seem positive. but I would hate to see a failure and new lows made but I think that might be the case until the Fed stops raising or at least only does a .25 or .5 in September.
True, there is little positive economic news except in the tech sector, semiconductors, and some Earnings Reports. Maybe it's just enough for a brief summer rally? Until the next FED meeting :?

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Fund Prices2022-08-05

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.98 0.01% 1.45%
F $19.05 -1.07% -8.80%
C $63.14 -0.15% -12.24%
S $67.93 0.74% -18.59%
I $33.31 -0.76% -15.55%
L2065 $12.78 -0.24% -14.10%
L2060 $12.78 -0.24% -14.10%
L2055 $12.79 -0.24% -14.09%
L2050 $26.41 -0.27% -12.04%
L2045 $12.13 -0.27% -11.26%
L2040 $44.61 -0.25% -10.41%
L2035 $11.88 -0.24% -9.47%
L2030 $39.88 -0.21% -8.47%
L2025 $11.54 -0.16% -5.76%
Linc $22.85 -0.12% -2.72%

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