Kind of reminds me of what happened to a couple of Canadians. Both were solo sailboaters who set sail just before COVID hit, only to return and find the world turned on its head.
Bert terHart spent 267 days alone, starting in October 2019, before returning home to find COVID conditions. His first words were "What did I miss?": https://www.yahoo.com/video/bert-terhar ... 52389.html
Bill Norrie landed in New Zealand after a a round-the-world trip that started in Canada on 1 Sep 2019, and lost communication midway through the trip: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/ ... -1.5573848
Recommended Reading: http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=13474
"It's not what happens to you, but how you react to it that matters" Epictetus
Trailing, I gave up on finding anything reliable as a leading indicator. They work once or twice, then skip a few times before working again. You know of any that you trust?
Macroscopically, we hear a lot about how yield curve inversions predict recessions but I do not use it. I have however tested the use of SSA (singular spectrum analysis) to project future prices for an index--but ran into the dilemma of which parameters to apply since the resulting projection lines are so diverse I might as well scribble that line by guessing and be more accurate. I do like that it only uses one variable (historical stock prices) to draw the lines--kinda like a TA version of MJ's seasonal strats. KISS.Tomanyiron wrote: ↑Fri Jun 02, 2023 12:18 pmTrailing, I gave up on finding anything reliable as a leading indicator. They work once or twice, then skip a few times before working again. You know of any that you trust?