Stay Calm Index

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Tomanyiron
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Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Starting the second half of the year, I have a modification on the method.
With a slight change of the title, “Stay” instead of “Keep”.
It’s downsized from the seven chart indicator formulas to three.
The system needed more “Calm” less flip-flopping.
It still focuses on the S fund, but also an all stocks bullish/bearish indicator.
This calmer version started on June 1, and as you can see is bullish.
It will not make the wide swings as before.

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

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IRQVET
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by IRQVET »

I may be late to the party, but can you unpack the buy/sell line?

Is that showing when people are doing said activity, or when you should?
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Disclaimer: The contents of this thread are known to the state of California to cause cancer. (As they always seem to know more than the rest of us)

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

IRQVET wrote: Thu Jun 09, 2022 4:07 pm I may be late to the party, but can you unpack the buy/sell line?

Is that showing when people are doing said activity, or when you should?
Above 500, you need to have a good reason not to be in stocks (S fund or C).
Below 500, you need a good reason to be in stocks.

wingchaser
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by wingchaser »

Tomanyiron wrote: Thu Jun 09, 2022 4:52 pm
IRQVET wrote: Thu Jun 09, 2022 4:07 pm I may be late to the party, but can you unpack the buy/sell line?

Is that showing when people are doing said activity, or when you should?
Above 500, you need to have a good reason not to be in stocks (S fund or C).
Below 500, you need a good reason to be in stocks.
A good reason may be that the market is already down 5% for a month that ain’t even 1/2 over…

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

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bloobs
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by bloobs »

Most people are saying this is a mostly technical correction (meaning reversal to the mean) which is good I guess.

Most of the indices have just breached their March 2020 levels (e.g. near-capitulation?) except for the S&P500--so not quite ready for a short-term broad-based rally or at least consolidation.

BTW I heard that the S&P500 is really just the S&P10 from a market weighing calculation. Nine of those 10 are IT companies (FAANGS et al.). C'mon, finish your crash already :oops:

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12squared
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by 12squared »

bloobs wrote: Fri Jun 17, 2022 8:19 am BTW I heard that the S&P500 is really just the S&P10 from a market weighing calculation. Nine of those 10 are IT companies (FAANGS et al.). C'mon, finish your crash already :oops:
Good justification for TSP to include a mid-cap fund.
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend — not catching the highs or the lows.”
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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

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Fund Prices2022-08-05

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.98 0.01% 1.45%
F $19.05 -1.07% -8.80%
C $63.14 -0.15% -12.24%
S $67.93 0.74% -18.59%
I $33.31 -0.76% -15.55%
L2065 $12.78 -0.24% -14.10%
L2060 $12.78 -0.24% -14.10%
L2055 $12.79 -0.24% -14.09%
L2050 $26.41 -0.27% -12.04%
L2045 $12.13 -0.27% -11.26%
L2040 $44.61 -0.25% -10.41%
L2035 $11.88 -0.24% -9.47%
L2030 $39.88 -0.21% -8.47%
L2025 $11.54 -0.16% -5.76%
Linc $22.85 -0.12% -2.72%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".