Stay Calm Index

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IRQVET
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by IRQVET »

So Feb. 3rd, 5.96 but yet the market still went down?
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Disclaimer: The contents of this thread are known to the state of California to cause cancer. (As they always seem to know more than the rest of us)

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

daemon wrote: Fri Feb 10, 2023 10:06 am Thanks for posting. Have been missing these daily reports (have you been on vacation?). Copp curve looks like it's peaked. Looks like we're headed down.
Yeah, I’ve had a lot going on. And yes the Copp did peak-out. Stocks are going down now. I and the Index reacted slowly. Hope to go back to daily updates, with improvements to the computations.

For sake of time, I might have to skip the cartoons on some days.
I’m sure liberals won’t mind.
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

IRQVET wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 9:22 pm So Feb. 3rd, 5.96 but yet the market still went down?
Yes that 5.96 reading on 2/3 suggested things were going to continue upward. That’s the problem with the “Stay” part of the index. It only looks at “how good things are going now”.

Relying too much on this kind of a chart.

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"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

So with the above being said, I recently have been working on improving the Index. I should have been looking more at the “ebb and flow”, and paying more attention to the extremes.

Why was I so naive? Well that system would have worked well a few years ago, with little jumping in and out.

The inner critic in me will never let me be still. So I will be using charts like this, to adjust the future computations.

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"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Disclaimer: The content of this thread is based on backtesting, of only a year or so. If that pattern keeps happening that way, we might be able to use it to make a dollar or two.
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image

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"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

FlyGirl wrote: Tue Feb 14, 2023 4:22 am That is a LIE, we were only 15 min late. :evil:
Sorry FlyGirl, that was what CNN was reporting.

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image

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"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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evilanne
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by evilanne »

Tomanyiron wrote: Tue Feb 14, 2023 8:54 am
FlyGirl wrote: Tue Feb 14, 2023 4:22 am That is a LIE, we were only 15 min late. :evil:
Sorry FlyGirl, that was what CNN was reporting.
They were just fashionably late :mrgreen:

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image

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"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image

Image
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image


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"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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mhende2
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by mhende2 »

Great comparison Tommy.
It's like having outrageously high fuel oil prices in New England which most people use for heating their homes unless you live in a large city that has natural gas. That's forced many to return to burning wood for half the price. It's really not as bad when it's compared to forest fires all over the west coast every year.
Last edited by mhende2 on Wed Feb 22, 2023 11:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable.
-Robert Arnott

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

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"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Stay Calm Index

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image

Image
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Fund Prices2023-03-20

FundPriceDayYTD
G $17.38 0.03% 0.84%
F $18.68 -0.48% 2.58%
C $60.86 0.89% 3.32%
S $62.37 0.93% 1.36%
I $35.15 1.25% 3.56%
L2065 $12.65 1.01% 3.18%
L2060 $12.65 1.01% 3.18%
L2055 $12.65 1.01% 3.17%
L2050 $26.25 0.80% 2.92%
L2045 $12.08 0.75% 2.81%
L2040 $44.54 0.70% 2.69%
L2035 $11.89 0.65% 2.56%
L2030 $40.02 0.59% 2.41%
L2025 $11.64 0.38% 1.90%
Linc $23.21 0.25% 1.56%

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Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".