Testimonial

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ubascuba
Posts: 86
Joined: Fri Sep 08, 2017 11:56 pm

Testimonial

Post by ubascuba »

I just wanted to share my achievements with everyone and especially throw a shout out to Matt and TSPCalc. I started following TSPCalc in May 2019 with a total investment portfolio of about $360K (TSP + Fidelity). I've changed plans a few times as I've gained insight from the knowledge of others and from my many mistakes. As of today, I hit 101% return since May 2019. Thanks for creating all of this!
Ubascuba
Strategy:167054

“Courage is what it takes to stand up and speak; courage is also what it takes to sit down and listen.” ~ Winston Churchill

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mjedlin66
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Re: Testimonial

Post by mjedlin66 »

That is a phenomenal return!

Congrats!
Owner/creator of TSPcalc.com - "Know your numbers"

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Aitrus
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Re: Testimonial

Post by Aitrus »

That's great, man! Congrats!
Seasonal Musings 2022: viewtopic.php?f=14&t=19005
Recommended Reading: http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=13474
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SurelyJame
Posts: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 05, 2017 6:38 pm

Re: Testimonial

Post by SurelyJame »

Out of curiosity, which strategy did you follow?

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ubascuba
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Joined: Fri Sep 08, 2017 11:56 pm

Re: Testimonial

Post by ubascuba »

SurelyJame wrote: Tue May 09, 2023 6:58 am Out of curiosity, which strategy did you follow?
The very first strategy I followed was 7980. I chose it just because there was a large number of people following it and I was new to seasonals. I chose the next strategy based on the a minimum mean of 30% and 15% max Std Dev. I've since whittled it down to a mean above 20%, Std Dev at about 5%, and CSI% less than 51%. Currently, I'm in 167054. I chose that because of the limited exposure to the market (CSI at 45%).
Ubascuba
Strategy:167054

“Courage is what it takes to stand up and speak; courage is also what it takes to sit down and listen.” ~ Winston Churchill

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ubascuba
Posts: 86
Joined: Fri Sep 08, 2017 11:56 pm

Re: Testimonial

Post by ubascuba »

I would also add that I made alot of mistakes early on. Market movements would influence me more than they should have. I've since learned to not deviate from my plan. EVERY time I did deviate from the plan I ended up losing.
Ubascuba
Strategy:167054

“Courage is what it takes to stand up and speak; courage is also what it takes to sit down and listen.” ~ Winston Churchill

Bubba
Posts: 394
Joined: Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:40 am

Re: Testimonial

Post by Bubba »

ubascuba wrote: Tue May 09, 2023 10:30 am
SurelyJame wrote: Tue May 09, 2023 6:58 am Out of curiosity, which strategy did you follow?
The very first strategy I followed was 7980. I chose it just because there was a large number of people following it and I was new to seasonals. I chose the next strategy based on the a minimum mean of 30% and 15% max Std Dev. I've since whittled it down to a mean above 20%, Std Dev at about 5%, and CSI% less than 51%. Currently, I'm in 167054. I chose that because of the limited exposure to the market (CSI at 45%).
I've been testing, testing and testing different strategies. So far, I've found a good way to do things, but I think I need to test it for a couple of years.

In one part of me, I'm thinking (ultimately) of going your direction. Getting a 20%+ return every year is very respectable with minimal loss. I'm being additionally cautious now, however, with the 3mvs10yr inversion. Hopefully it's a soft landing. :(

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Fund Prices2024-03-28

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.15 0.05% 1.05%
F $19.08 -0.06% -0.74%
C $82.21 0.11% 10.55%
S $82.43 0.30% 6.92%
I $42.57 -0.24% 5.95%
L2065 $16.38 0.02% 8.37%
L2060 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2055 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2050 $32.73 0.01% 6.95%
L2045 $14.91 0.02% 6.58%
L2040 $54.38 0.02% 6.22%
L2035 $14.34 0.02% 5.79%
L2030 $47.67 0.02% 5.38%
L2025 $13.15 0.03% 3.43%
Linc $25.61 0.03% 2.82%

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