QEIII

Official TSP Center polls.

Moderator: Aitrus

Post Reply

How high will QEIII drive stock prices?

None
23
36%
15-25% higher
38
59%
25-35% higher
1
2%
35-50% higher
2
3%
 
Total votes: 64

User avatar
Jahbulon
Posts: 3901
Joined: Wed Nov 17, 2010 1:22 pm

QEIII

Post by Jahbulon »

How high will QEIII drive stock prices?

None
15-25% higher
25-35% higher
35-50% higher

TSPKip
Posts: 1225
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 7:34 am

Re: QEIII

Post by TSPKip »

IMHO: QE III will cause inflation which will injure those on fixed incomes.
Seek Wisdom where it can be found.

BigMike
Posts: 220
Joined: Wed Sep 29, 2010 12:45 pm

Re: QEIII

Post by BigMike »

The question should have had a choice of "less than 15%" instead of "none." Then I would have picked that. I think we will get a little bump from QEIII if it happens but not as much as 15%.

wm577
Posts: 12
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2010 6:11 pm

Re: QEIII

Post by wm577 »

it's sad that 99% of trades in the market right now are bets on what the fed will do and have nothing to do with the companies in the market.

supercoop
Posts: 3
Joined: Tue Aug 26, 2008 11:08 am

Re: QEIII

Post by supercoop »

wm577 wrote:it's sad that 99% of trades in the market right now are bets on what the fed will do and have nothing to do with the companies in the market.


:idea: great point

User avatar
Jahbulon
Posts: 3901
Joined: Wed Nov 17, 2010 1:22 pm

Re: QEIII

Post by Jahbulon »

Too true. We are now trading central banks......

User avatar
peteruso
Posts: 113
Joined: Thu Jul 29, 2010 11:29 pm

Re: QEIII

Post by peteruso »

Jahbulon wrote:Too true. We are now trading central banks......


Scary. Earnings and guidance are even worse than expected up to this point. What would the trigger level be for Ben to ease? Perhaps 1200 on the S&P? Who knows? 10yr just broke 1.50%! I'm hoping for a short term relief bounce off the 1338 S&P level.

hugehail
Posts: 602
Joined: Mon Mar 12, 2012 10:05 pm

Re: QEIII

Post by hugehail »

Im interested in the chances of QE3 in the next fed meeting (July 32-Aug 1) and whether there will be a 5% surge in stocks going into the meeting in anticipation. Then when there is no QE3, will there be a 10% drop after August 1?

User avatar
peteruso
Posts: 113
Joined: Thu Jul 29, 2010 11:29 pm

Re: QEIII

Post by peteruso »

Guidance from Cummins (CMI) today that caused an almost 9% drop in its share price and was released at about 1:20pm (look at the reaction in the S&P at that exact time):

Cummins Increases Dividend by 25 Percent; Updates 2012 Revenue Outlook

"We have seen demand in some markets weaken recently as growth in the global economy has slowed," continued Linebarger. "Order trends in the U.S. for trucks and power generation equipment have softened and demand in Brazil, China and India is not improving as we had previously expected. Our revenues have also been negatively impacted by the appreciation of the U.S. dollar against a number of currencies. We are making adjustments within our business to manage costs, while continuing to fund our critical growth programs and will continue to focus on execution and improving operating margins."


http://www.cnbc.com/id/48137849

Post Reply

Fund Prices2022-08-05

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.98 0.01% 1.45%
F $19.05 -1.07% -8.80%
C $63.14 -0.15% -12.24%
S $67.93 0.74% -18.59%
I $33.31 -0.76% -15.55%
L2065 $12.78 -0.24% -14.10%
L2060 $12.78 -0.24% -14.10%
L2055 $12.79 -0.24% -14.09%
L2050 $26.41 -0.27% -12.04%
L2045 $12.13 -0.27% -11.26%
L2040 $44.61 -0.25% -10.41%
L2035 $11.88 -0.24% -9.47%
L2030 $39.88 -0.21% -8.47%
L2025 $11.54 -0.16% -5.76%
Linc $22.85 -0.12% -2.72%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".