The new seasonal builder (in beta) allows you to skip years. So you could study things like election cycles.userque wrote:But that was in interesting observation you made ... I hadn't thought of using tspcalc seasonals as evidence of: patterns, or the lack of patterns, before.TSPBuilder wrote:Alas, you caught my faux pas, userque Thanks for the correction!
Do Presidents Really Matter to Markets?--Anything Goes Forum
Moderator: Aitrus
Re: Do Presidents Really Matter to Markets?--Anything Goes F
Owner/creator of TSPcalc.com - "Know your numbers"
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Re: Do Presidents Really Matter to Markets?--Anything Goes F
Speaking of patterns, I've noticed over the years, the market would do something odd and many people within earshot of me kept trying to find a reason to make sense of it. After a while you start to see a growing correlation of unexplained movements and wonder if the market is manipulated. Another interesting thought for me was that people in general are saying COVID-19 was the cause of the market plunging. TSPcalc strategy 85660 called to go to G Fund two day after the decline started. It called to re-enter the market on the day it rebounded. The strategy is based on historical data. Make your own conclusions. I feel it was a magnifier of an existing historical trend. Japanese candlesticks, TSPcalc... who knows what the next set of tools will come to reveal about patterns in the future.
Live long and prosper,
T
Live long and prosper,
T
Fund Prices2024-05-17
Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
G | $18.26 | 0.01% | 1.63% |
F | $18.97 | -0.24% | -1.31% |
C | $83.13 | 0.12% | 11.79% |
S | $81.54 | 0.08% | 5.77% |
I | $43.48 | 0.27% | 8.20% |
L2065 | $16.57 | 0.16% | 9.63% |
L2060 | $16.58 | 0.16% | 9.64% |
L2055 | $16.58 | 0.16% | 9.64% |
L2050 | $33.06 | 0.12% | 8.01% |
L2045 | $15.05 | 0.11% | 7.61% |
L2040 | $54.90 | 0.11% | 7.22% |
L2035 | $14.47 | 0.10% | 6.77% |
L2030 | $48.10 | 0.09% | 6.33% |
L2025 | $13.24 | 0.05% | 4.19% |
Linc | $25.79 | 0.04% | 3.54% |