Moderator: Aitrus
As of noon and as I eat my meager protein-filled lunch, it's all up in the air right nowTomanyiron wrote:bloobs wrote:I hope you have your "Darn it Tomany, you were right again" rep points ready.
A while before the "Fat Lady Sings". However these tunes the skinny girls are singing.bloobs wrote:As of noon and as I eat my meager protein-filled lunch, it's all up in the air right now
Interesting, the S fund votes keep increasing. Even with it down all morning. Well we are playing with Fantasy money, why not fantasy "I Like You's"?bloobs wrote:...You know I dont give a rat's arsenic about rep points...
Tomanyiron wrote:Two Out Of Three?
The short answer is, I don't know. It depends on each day's results.tacatlin wrote:Tomanyiron,
Curious how long you plan to stay in S? And what your criteria will be to make a move to safer ground?
I was just reading about that. my homebuilt tableau share price analyzer early prototype does not show a pattern of clearly higher or lower returns for the 3rd fridays in january, march, june, sept, and december as compared to any other friday--at least for the 2 ETFs I matched the data against.Aitrus wrote:Not to throw any rain on your parade, but don't forget: tomorrow is Quadruple Witching day. However, I do see what you mean with the up-trend, so hopefully it'll be just a speed bump for you.
MY BAD!bloobs wrote: I was just reading about that. my homebuilt tableau share price analyzer early prototype does not show a pattern of clearly higher or lower returns for the 3rd fridays in january, march, june, sept, and december as compared to any other friday--at least for the 2 ETFs I matched the data against.
But it does kinda indicate that those days do have higher std deviations (i.e. more volatility, or higher delta between open and close prices) on average for the past 15+ years. So if you're a day trader kind of guy--that's your sign to get ready for a ride tomorrow.
My initial conclusion above is wrong...dead wrong. I reran the numbers from my tool with the following scenarios using the 2004-2019 EFA ETF dataset: Thanks Aitrus, I forget that sometimes. I don't use 'Witching' in my decisions, but it's good to know where the extra volatility is coming from. Today's last hour or so is going to be even more electrifying.Aitrus wrote:Not to throw any rain on your parade, but don't forget: tomorrow is Quadruple Witching day. However, I do see what you mean with the up-trend, so hopefully it'll be just a speed bump for you.
Me? Going to the bar? The bar comes to me, my friend.Tomanyiron wrote: bloobs, You going to be watching near close today? (Don't you knock-off early on Friday's sometimes to go to the bar?)
You remember I said 2 out of 3?
| Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
| G | $18.19 | 0.01% | 1.27% |
| F | $18.62 | -0.30% | -3.14% |
| C | $78.45 | -0.21% | 5.50% |
| S | $76.12 | -0.20% | -1.27% |
| I | $40.67 | 0.02% | 1.21% |
| L2065 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
| L2060 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
| L2055 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
| L2050 | $31.35 | -0.13% | 2.44% |
| L2045 | $14.32 | -0.12% | 2.35% |
| L2040 | $52.37 | -0.11% | 2.29% |
| L2035 | $13.85 | -0.10% | 2.21% |
| L2030 | $46.21 | -0.09% | 2.15% |
| L2025 | $12.93 | -0.05% | 1.72% |
| Linc | $25.28 | -0.04% | 1.51% |
