external influence(CORONA) or historical precedent(TSPcalc).

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TSPBuilder
Posts: 256
Joined: Tue Jun 19, 2012 2:14 pm

external influence(CORONA) or historical precedent(TSPcalc).

Post by TSPBuilder »

Strategy 85660 went to F Fund on 6/2/20 and is scheduled to be there until 6/25/20. Then have a three week possible upturn in the S and then C. Then six more weeks of F (1week), then G (1 week) and then three more weeks of F. This strategy was off by two days for the February downturn and on the spot for the bottom. It was three days late starting this time. I can't wait to see the outcome.

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Tomanyiron
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Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: external influence(CORONA) or historical precedent(TSPca

Post by Tomanyiron »

That’s kinda spooky Builder.
But you were not in 85660 were you? Like me, finding great systems/strategies after most of the rewards are gone.
“Hindsight is 20/20”, goes for market timing systems also.
Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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bloobs
Posts: 1073
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 8:00 pm

Re: external influence(CORONA) or historical precedent(TSPca

Post by bloobs »

TSPBuilder wrote:Strategy 85660 went to F Fund on 6/2/20 and is scheduled to be there until 6/25/20. Then have a three week possible upturn in the S and then C. Then six more weeks of F (1week), then G (1 week) and then three more weeks of F. This strategy was off by two days for the February downturn and on the spot for the bottom. It was three days late starting this time. I can't wait to see the outcome.
The power of using high-quality immutable data coupled with critical thinking skills, to drive quantitative decision making. So underrated nowadays.

Yeah, and thanks MJ. Almost forgot :oops:
Anger and intolerance are the enemies of correct understanding.
― Mahatma Gandhi

If it's a choice between a difficult truth and a simple lie, people will take the lie every time. Even if it kills them.
― Paul Murray

TSPBuilder
Posts: 256
Joined: Tue Jun 19, 2012 2:14 pm

Re: external influence(CORONA) or historical precedent(TSPca

Post by TSPBuilder »

Tomanyiron wrote:That’s kinda spooky Builder.
But you were not in 85660 were you? Like me, finding great systems/strategies after most of the rewards are gone.
“Hindsight is 20/20”, goes for market timing systems also.
I was then jumped out of F and back into S because the strategy is a high probability scenario and the previous two years you were better to be in S til the middle of the month. I am still developing data and comfort level with a new process. I am sharing the results that the strategy is more and more the place to be, especially in the TSP. It is having an even bigger impact in my more flexible ProFunds account. Still having growing pains there while trying to figure out when to utilize inverse funds during F and G times in the strategy. Still finding value in moving averages to determine high momentum opportunities like in March.

You've a keen eye, Tommy. Not everybody reviews the past to see clearer in the future. TSPcalc is proving past performance is indicative of future performance. Think of how many prospectuses might have to be re-written in fifty years (how long it is going to take for buy-n-holders to grasp that there might be another way instead of losing value in downturns). Working constantly on living longer and prospering :)

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bloobs
Posts: 1073
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 8:00 pm

Re: external influence(CORONA) or historical precedent(TSPca

Post by bloobs »

TSPBuilder wrote:... Not everybody reviews the past to see clearer in the future.
While far from perfect, analysis of past [raw and granular] data is the most reliable indicator of future outcomes. Everything else is arguably subjective.
Anger and intolerance are the enemies of correct understanding.
― Mahatma Gandhi

If it's a choice between a difficult truth and a simple lie, people will take the lie every time. Even if it kills them.
― Paul Murray

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Fund Prices2021-05-07

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.58 0.00% 0.43%
F $20.72 0.00% -2.27%
C $63.32 0.75% 13.24%
S $82.16 1.32% 10.72%
I $38.76 1.29% 9.51%
L2065 $13.84 1.02% 11.49%
L2060 $13.84 1.02% 11.49%
L2055 $13.84 1.02% 11.49%
L2050 $28.21 0.84% 9.30%
L2045 $12.88 0.79% 8.73%
L2040 $47.05 0.73% 8.19%
L2035 $12.44 0.67% 7.54%
L2030 $41.46 0.61% 6.91%
L2025 $11.77 0.48% 5.47%
Linc $22.89 0.23% 2.76%

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".

What else

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