Stay Calm Index
Moderator: Aitrus
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Stay Calm Index
Starting the second half of the year, I have a modification on the method.
With a slight change of the title, “Stay” instead of “Keep”.
It’s downsized from the seven chart indicator formulas to three.
The system needed more “Calm” less flip-flopping.
It still focuses on the S fund, but also an all stocks bullish/bearish indicator.
This calmer version started on June 1, and as you can see is bullish.
It will not make the wide swings as before.
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Stay Calm Index
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Stay Calm Index
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Stay Calm Index
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Stay Calm Index
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
Re: Stay Calm Index
I may be late to the party, but can you unpack the buy/sell line?
Is that showing when people are doing said activity, or when you should?
Is that showing when people are doing said activity, or when you should?
Operation Iraqi Freedom Veteran
Disclaimer: The contents of this thread are known to the state of California to cause cancer. (As they always seem to know more than the rest of us)
Disclaimer: The contents of this thread are known to the state of California to cause cancer. (As they always seem to know more than the rest of us)
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Stay Calm Index
Above 500, you need to have a good reason not to be in stocks (S fund or C).
Below 500, you need a good reason to be in stocks.
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
-
- Posts: 802
- Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am
Re: Stay Calm Index
A good reason may be that the market is already down 5% for a month that ain’t even 1/2 over…Tomanyiron wrote: ↑Thu Jun 09, 2022 4:52 pmAbove 500, you need to have a good reason not to be in stocks (S fund or C).
Below 500, you need a good reason to be in stocks.
Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Stay Calm Index
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Stay Calm Index
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Stay Calm Index
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
Re: Stay Calm Index
Most people are saying this is a mostly technical correction (meaning reversal to the mean) which is good I guess.
Most of the indices have just breached their March 2020 levels (e.g. near-capitulation?) except for the S&P500--so not quite ready for a short-term broad-based rally or at least consolidation.
BTW I heard that the S&P500 is really just the S&P10 from a market weighing calculation. Nine of those 10 are IT companies (FAANGS et al.). C'mon, finish your crash already
Most of the indices have just breached their March 2020 levels (e.g. near-capitulation?) except for the S&P500--so not quite ready for a short-term broad-based rally or at least consolidation.
BTW I heard that the S&P500 is really just the S&P10 from a market weighing calculation. Nine of those 10 are IT companies (FAANGS et al.). C'mon, finish your crash already
Re: Stay Calm Index
Good justification for TSP to include a mid-cap fund.
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend – not catching the highs or the lows.”
- Dean Witter
"Put all your eggs in one basket and then watch that basket."
- Andrew Carnegie
- Dean Witter
"Put all your eggs in one basket and then watch that basket."
- Andrew Carnegie
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Stay Calm Index
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Stay Calm Index
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
Fund Prices2024-04-18
Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
G | $18.19 | 0.01% | 1.27% |
F | $18.62 | -0.30% | -3.14% |
C | $78.45 | -0.21% | 5.50% |
S | $76.12 | -0.20% | -1.27% |
I | $40.67 | 0.02% | 1.21% |
L2065 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
L2060 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
L2055 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
L2050 | $31.35 | -0.13% | 2.44% |
L2045 | $14.32 | -0.12% | 2.35% |
L2040 | $52.37 | -0.11% | 2.29% |
L2035 | $13.85 | -0.10% | 2.21% |
L2030 | $46.21 | -0.09% | 2.15% |
L2025 | $12.93 | -0.05% | 1.72% |
Linc | $25.28 | -0.04% | 1.51% |