Just Like clockwork...

General TSP Discussion.

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wingchaser
Posts: 530
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Talk about IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE, Fed hikes the most in something like 20 years & Indices “scream” higher…

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock ... news-again

Kudos to HARPOLE for the big, bold move!!!

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 530
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Indice closed right @ or near Sessions’ High, with an impressive two (2) day gain in place…

https://www.investors.com/market-trend/ ... src=A00220

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

harpole
Posts: 93
Joined: Wed Mar 22, 2017 9:25 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by harpole »

wingchaser wrote: Wed Jul 27, 2022 4:43 pm Talk about IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE, Fed hikes the most in something like 20 years & Indices “scream” higher…

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock ... news-again

Kudos to HARPOLE for the big, bold move!!!

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
I would have exited today....but trying to stick with the "I got a discount" plan.
Never underestimate the true intentions and overreach of the regime.

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bloobs
Posts: 1380
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 8:00 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bloobs »

harpole wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 3:28 pm
wingchaser wrote: Wed Jul 27, 2022 4:43 pm Talk about IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE, Fed hikes the most in something like 20 years & Indices “scream” higher…

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock ... news-again

Kudos to HARPOLE for the big, bold move!!!

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
I would have exited today....but trying to stick with the "I got a discount" plan.
You likely know this, but today the S&P finally hit the 20 day weekly MA---so it's heads or tails time again. Place your bets :cry: :shock:

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12squared
Posts: 486
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by 12squared »

harpole wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 3:28 pm
wingchaser wrote: Wed Jul 27, 2022 4:43 pm Talk about IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE, Fed hikes the most in something like 20 years & Indices “scream” higher…

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock ... news-again

Kudos to HARPOLE for the big, bold move!!!

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
I would have exited today....but trying to stick with the "I got a discount" plan.
You're about back to where you topped out in March. What is your post-discount exist strategy?
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend — not catching the highs or the lows.”
- Dean Witter

"You'll have to adapt or you'll be out of style."
- Robert Smith

harpole
Posts: 93
Joined: Wed Mar 22, 2017 9:25 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by harpole »

12squared wrote: Sat Jul 30, 2022 7:03 am
harpole wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 3:28 pm
wingchaser wrote: Wed Jul 27, 2022 4:43 pm Talk about IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE, Fed hikes the most in something like 20 years & Indices “scream” higher…

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock ... news-again

Kudos to HARPOLE for the big, bold move!!!

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
I would have exited today....but trying to stick with the "I got a discount" plan.
You're about back to where you topped out in March. What is your post-discount exist strategy?
I don't think I will consistently beat the market; haven't yet until this year.
Since joining this site I've tried to use the daily strategy/TSPCalc, but fail (mostly my fault). So I spent the last 1.5 years researching investing and charting. I slowly broke away from the daily's and started trading what I think is the best move. It's paid off, but is extremely stressful managing my retirement. Having a 32% edge on the S fund right now makes me want to stay put.
So I have no post-discount exit strategy yet; may just sit tight until the Christmas rally and see where the charts take me. :D
Never underestimate the true intentions and overreach of the regime.

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Scarfinger
Posts: 724
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Scarfinger »

Remember the words of Jack Bogle: “Don’t just do something. Stand there!”

Wolfpack is the only member that is beating the "C" fund over the last 10 years. If we all just would have bought 100% C? I too am not doing the daily/monthly strategy anymore either. I did not have the discipline and time to keep up with the moves. Also each move came with the stress of...should I really be doing this?

For me, A balanced buy and hold works. Less stress, less time sink and I feel comfortable not doing anything. My goal is to keep my current portfolio balance for 5 years and reassess closer to retirement.

During the accumulation phase, down markets are actually good because we are buying low. This is what I found is working the best for me.

PS: JCFORD2002 is in like 6th place: buy and hold 50 C and 50 S
Last edited by Scarfinger on Tue Aug 02, 2022 7:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
TimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation of

wingchaser
Posts: 530
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Indice closes in the RED after spending most of the trading session in the GREEN…

Infamous SPINNING TOP in it’s wake!!!

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/marke ... ws-anymore

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 530
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

S&P closed near Sessions’ LOW as Fed remains Hawkish…

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/08/01/sto ... ugust.html

Candlestick takes on the appearance of a LONG UPPER SHADOW, usually indicative of “continued” downward momentum…

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 530
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Beautiful FULL BODY Candlestick indicative of rising price throughout the trading session (Bullish Move)…

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... markets-vp

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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Aitrus
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Aitrus »

Equityclock is anticipating a bullish head-and-shoulders setup.

http://www.equityclock.com/2022/08/03/s ... st-4-2022/
Seasonal Musings 2022: viewtopic.php?f=14&t=19005
Recommended Reading: http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=13474
"It's not what happens to you, but how you react to it that matters" Epictetus

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bloobs
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bloobs »

Aitrus wrote: Thu Aug 04, 2022 8:03 am Equityclock is anticipating a bullish head-and-shoulders setup.

http://www.equityclock.com/2022/08/03/s ... st-4-2022/
To be clear, they *predict* a drop to ~3800 first before a rally to ~4600 could be set up.

wingchaser
Posts: 530
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Accelerating BUY volume into the close still couldn’t push the S&P into the GREEN…

https://www.thestreet.com/investing/fut ... -jobs-data

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 530
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Tried to get into this index until a LONG UPPER SHADOW Candlestick started formin’…

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/ ... 022-08-08/

For me, it’s not a strong entry point…

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 530
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

S&P struggles to gain traction…

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/ ... 022-08-09/

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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Fund Prices2022-08-15

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.99 0.02% 1.53%
F $19.14 0.23% -8.37%
C $65.49 0.40% -8.98%
S $71.11 0.23% -14.77%
I $33.96 -0.58% -13.89%
L2065 $13.19 0.04% -11.34%
L2060 $13.20 0.04% -11.33%
L2055 $13.20 0.04% -11.33%
L2050 $27.12 0.05% -9.67%
L2045 $12.44 0.05% -9.01%
L2040 $45.67 0.05% -8.29%
L2035 $12.14 0.05% -7.49%
L2030 $40.68 0.04% -6.65%
L2025 $11.70 0.04% -4.46%
Linc $23.04 0.04% -1.89%

Live Charts

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